The world has been on fire lately, but the 97th Academy Awards® is still going down this Sunday night so I’m still going to make my predictions. I’ve been busy finishing a big book project so I haven’t been film babbling much lately (I said the same thing last year), but I’ve seen nine of the ten Best Picture nominees, and a lot of the other films that got nods so I think I’m fairly good to go.
The few things that I can safely predict is that I’m going to be really pissed off if EMILIA PÉREZ wins anything, which is sure to happen because it got 13 f-in’ nominations, and that Conan O’Brien is going to be really funny as the first-time host of the big show. Otherwise this is such a crap shoot that I bet I’ll get more wrong on the following predictions than ever before.
So here are my highly anticipated, not-thrown-together-at-the-last-minute predictions:
1. BEST PICTURE: ANORA
This is a f-in’ excellent movie, and it looks like the odds are in its favor, so this is definitely the voting with my heart year for me.
2. BEST DIRECTOR: Sean Baker, ANORA
3. BEST ACTOR: Timothée Chalamet, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
Adrien Brody is who everyone’s predicting will take home the award, but I’m going with the wild card, because it was my favorite performance of 2024 (and my favorite film too), and I don’t care if I’m wrong. I did admire Brody in THE BRUTALIST, and he’s won everything except the SAG that Chalamet won last weekend, so he’ll probably win, but I’m still pulling for Timmy as Zimmy.
4. BEST ACTRESS: Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE. I hated the movie, but she did a good job, and it just seems like her year.
5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN
This feels like a given too, as Culkin nails his portrayal of a particular kind of guy that I bet we’ve all known some version of. Otherwise I’ll be happy if Edward Norton wins for his excellent turn as Pete Seeger in A COMPLETE UNKNOWN, because it’s crazy he’s never won one before.
6. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Isabella Rossellini, CONCLAVE
Please don’t let it be Zoe Saldaña for EMILIA PÉREZ! Please don’t let it be Zoe Saldaña for EMILIA PÉREZ!!!!
7. PRODUCTION DESIGN: WICKED, Nathan Crowley, Lee Sandales
8. CINEMATOGRAPHY: THE BRUTALIST, Lol Crawley
9. COSTUME DESIGN: WICKED, Paul Tazewell
10. DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: NO OTHER LAND
11. DOCUMENTARY SHORT: I AM READY, WARDEN
12. FILM EDITING: CONCLAVE, Nick Emerson
13. MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: THE SUBSTANCE
14. VISUAL EFFECTS: DUNE: PART TWO
15. ORIGINAL SCORE: THE BRUTALIST, Daniel Blumberg
16. ORIGINAL SONG: “The Journey” from THE SIX TRIPLE EIGHT, Diane Warren
17. ANIMATED SHORT: YUCK!
18. LIVE ACTION SHORT: THE MAN WHO COULD NOT REMAIN SILENT
19. SOUND: DUNE: PART TWO
20. ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: A REAL PAIN, Jesse Eisenberg
21. ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: CONCLAVE, Peter Straughan
22. ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: THE WILD ROBOT
23. BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM: I’M STILL HERE
Did I mention I don’t want EMILIA PÉREZ to win anything? I know, I know, with 13 noms, it's probably going to take home some gold, but I’m still gonna dream.
As I always say, tune in on Monday to see how many I got wrong.
More later...
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