I got my best score in ages guessing 19 out of 24 right of the Academy Awards last night. Was a fun broadcast - Conan killed, and I loved the loose vibe of the whole affair, but damn, why didn't I got with my gut that the Best Picture was going to be the actual best movie of the year: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER?
I went with my inner rumblings last year with ANORA so I don't know why I wimped out and went with the media sway 'bout a SINNERS sweep. Sigh. For the record, I love SINNERS and am blaring the soundtrack right now, but ONE BATTLE is something other than else and PTA is one of the best filmmakers ever so I'm glad to be wrong.
Anyway, these are the five Oscar predictions I got wrong:
BEST PICTURE: My pick: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER/What won: SINNERS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: I guessed Benicio del Toro (maybe because I had a few small beers) for ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER, but the Oscar went to: Sean Penn
I think my biggest takeaway here is that in all the years I've been making these there predicts, I've often counted out those that have won Oscars before. I didn't predict Adrien Brody last year, I discounted Anthony Hopkins a few years ago too - I had the foul idea that these folks wouldn't get the gold multiple times. Next time, I'll rethink this.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: My pick: BUTTERFLY/What won: THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLS
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER BEST CASTING: My pick: SINNERS, Francine Maisler/ What won: Cassandra Kulukundis for ONE BATTLE.
I kinda had the dumb idea that this award was made to honor such ensembles as SINNERS, but damn, Ms. Kulukundis, did really nail it on ONE BATTLE so I will shut up now.
That's it - here's hoping 2026 will have a roster of movies that compares, because this last year is so far my favorite of the 2020s.
Yep, it's that time of year again - the 98th Academy Awards ceremony will go down Sunday evening at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California, and here I am again with my predictions, which I've been doing since the late 2000s. So it seems a dead heat between SINNERS and ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER, and I could be wrong (and often am) but I'm sensing a SINNERS sweep, even though I prefer Paul Thomas Anderson's work there.
That's the tricky part about making these predictions - trying not to pick the ones you want to win, and I've had good scores (my best score was 22 out of 24) with that in mind, but this year seems set to have some upsets. This year was a weird but really good one for film so the only thing I actually feel sure about is that Conan O'Brien as host will be funny AF.
So here goes my predicts:
BEST PICTURE: SINNERS
BEST DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson, ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
Yeah, I think SINNERS will win Best Picture, but PTA will finally get his Director due. Like I said, I want ONE BATTLE to get the gold, but this is what I'm feeling right now.
BEST ACTOR: Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
It's just too much fun to not give Timothy Chamalet this award (I so wanted him to win for his Dylan last year, but not pulling for his this time - MARTY SUPREME was decent, but didn't really resonate with me). Jordan's confident performance (performances?) as twin brothers Smoke and Stack I'm betting will get the gold.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Benicio del Toro, ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST ACTRESS: Jessie Buckley, HAMNET
Her anti-cat comments aside, no other actress moved me more than Buckley in HAMNET.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Amy Madigan, WEAPONS
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: BUTTERFLY
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: FRANKENSTEIIN
BEST DOCUMENTARY: MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
BEST FILM EDITING: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM: SENTIMENTAL VALUE, Norway
BEST CASTING: SINNERS, Francine Maisler
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: FRANKENSTEIN, Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: SINNERS, Ludwig Goransson
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: “Golden” from KPOP DEMON HUNTERS, music and lyric by EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seon and Teddy Park
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: FRANKENSTEIN
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
BEST SOUND: F1
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER, written by Paul Thomas Anderson
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:Ryan Coogler, SINNERS
Like I say every year - tune in Monday to see how many I got wrong.
For most of the last 12 months, I thought of 2025 as a very weird year for film. There were a lot of high-profile flops including one what’s being considered a front runner for the Best Picture Oscar, ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER, but also movies like the MISSION IMPOSSIBLE and TRON sequels, and the SNOW WHITE and THE RUNNING MAN remakes, which all performed poorly while oddly flicks that looked like they might be soulless, cash-grabbing reboots like SUPERMAN, and THE NAKED GUN turned out to be decent crowd-pleasers.
But when it came to the last few months while catching up with many of the year’s releases, which were way less mainstream than those mentioned above, I started thinking of 2025 as a very good, and challenging year for film. There were great political thrillers, moving dramas whether personal or historical (or both), and three films that made my list that had characters named Agnes.
While there are still a number of films I haven’t seen (there always are; you can’t see everything), it’s time to post my personal Top 10 of the year, six of which are Best Picture nominees. So here goes the countdown:
Nominated for the Best International Film Oscar, this South Korean black comedy, which I've seen some online commentator liken to a mash-up of PARASITE and A SHOCK TO THE SYSTEM is as compelling as it is wickedly amusing from start to finish.
Eva Victor’s impressive directorial debut, which she wrote and stars in, delivers a darkly quirky take on trauma. Victor as a New England graduate student named Agnes, who is sexually assaulted by a professor, puts in a genuine, lived-in performance, and her scenes with her best friend Lydie (an also appealing Naomi Ackie) have an affecting warmth. It’s a shame Academy voters didn’t give SORRY, BABY some love.
Made by an filmmaker who’s been imprisoned for creating what the Iranian government considered “propaganda against the regime,” this edgy thriller about a group of former political prisoners, who are caught up in the dilemma of thinking they’ve caught their torturer, but aren’t completely certain. Secretly shot in Iran, Jafar Panahi’s weighty materiual here is definitely worthy of both its Best International Film Oscar nom, as well as for Best Screenplay.
Receiving a record-breaking 16 Oscar nominations, Ryan Cooglar’s supernatural thriller SINNERS made for a better, more thoughtful, though equally twisted, take on the FROM DUSK TO DAWN scenario mixed with the CROSSROADS deal with the devil to great impact. As it was a big office hit with great critical acclaim, it’s due to take home quite a bit of gold on March 15. Michael B. Jordan has some stiff competition (DiCaprio, Chalamet) in the Best Acting category, but for his killer double turn as the Smokestack Twins, he could well pull off an upset.
This thoroughly engaging political thriller - yes, another political thriller - got four Academy Award noms last week, for both Best Picture, and Best International Feature Film then Best Actor for Wagner Moura, and in the new category of Best Casting. Set in 1977 during the height of Brazil’s military dictatorship, the film features Moura as a research scientist on the run from hitman as he attempts to flee the country with his son, and it grips from the get-go.
The absolute antithesis of John Madden’s 1998 historical rom com SHAKESPEARE IN LOVE (which won seven Oscars!), this emotionally-driven adaptation of Maggie O’Farrell’s 2020 novel of the same name is a haunting experience, especially in its heart-wrenching last third. Paul Mescal and Jessie Buckley star as William and Agnes Shakespeare, with the film focusing on the birth of their children, and subsequent death of their son Hamnet at age 11. The channeling of this tragedy into art, as seen through Agnes’ reaction is stirringly transcendent, and I believe Buckley should be handed the Best Actress statue for her performance. HAMNET got eight Oscar noms (including Best Picture) so here's hoping that happens.
This may seem like a cheat, but I truly equally enjoyed Richard Linklater's two period piece offerings this last year, and am especially glad that Ethan Hawke got nominated for his terrific turn as famed lyricist/songwriter Lorenz Hart though I doubt he'll win. The Broadway set BLUE MOON concerns Hart on the opening night of his former writing partner Richard Rodgers’ musical Oklahoma! in 1943, while NOUVELLE VAGUE is about the making of Jean-Luc Godard’sFrench New Wave classic BREATHLESS in 1959. Both films are loving, and ultra charming tributes to innovative artists, and their eras, and both should not be missed.
Joachim Trier’s touching drama about an acclaimed filmmaker portrayed by Stellan Skarsgård hoping to reconnect with his daughters, Nora (Renate Reinsve), and Agnes (Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas) via a new film project that he wants Nora to star in. Elle Fanning, who got one of the film’s nine nominations, appears as an American actress who takes on the role when Nora refuses. Like HAMNET it explores handling tragic loss through artistic expression, but in a vastly different manner. Trier's work has artsy elements but handles them unpretentiously, and with an absorbing elegance.
This is absolutely the best film I’ve ever seen about grief, which, I have to admit, I really didn’t understand until losing my father last April. In Clint Bentley’s adaptation of Denis Johnson’s 2011 novella, Joel Edgerton plays Idaho logger and railroad worker Robert Grainier, who loses his wife (Felicity Jones), and child in a forest fire and has to navigate through a lonely existence. Evocatively ghosty, with unforgettable vivid imagery, TRAIN DREAMS definitely got to me, and here's hoping more folks seek it out on Netflix.
While it underperformed at the box office, Paul Thomas Anderson’s 1oth feature is one of the most acclaimed movies of 2025, and I’m among the many who have praised it as I voted for it for Best Picture in the year-end poll for the North Carolina Film Critics Association (NCFCA). Leonardo DiCaprio as a burned-out ex revolutionary heads the strong cast including Teyana Taylor, Benicio del Toro, and a crusty AF Sean Penn as the scary Col. Steven J. Lockjaw in this twisted chaotic and comic action thriller that finds Anderson at the top of his game. With 13 noms, it's second in nominations to SINNERS, but I’m pulling for it to take home the big ones. With nearly a dozen noms but no wins, it really feels with this extraordinary piece of work like it’s finally PTA’s time.
Now, I’ll leave you with this hilarious commercial parody, featuring host Teyana Taylor, from last weekend's Saturday Night Live for a line of ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER action figures new from Mattel:
