The 90th Academy Awards® Ceremony is in two days, so it’s time for my predictions. Mind you, the last few years I got the same score: 16 out of 24, so I’m no Oscar-predicting genius here (my best score was 21 out of 24 in 2014). The only real lock this time around is that host Jimmy Kimmel will touch greatly on the #MeToo and #TimesUp movements.
This year is a particularly difficult roster to choose from as every other critic’s predictions are very divided especially when it comes to the big one:
1. BEST PICTURE: GET OUT
It looks like the front-runners for this category are THE SHAPE OF WATER (12 nominations), THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE OF EBBING, MISSOURI (7 nominations), and GET OUT (4 nominations). Now, if it wasn’t for that big snafu last year when LA LA LAND was mistakenly announced as the winner, when it was really MOONLIGHT that got the gold, I would probably go with THE SHAPE OF WATER. LA LA LAND seemed like such a lock, but that incident has made me rethink my pick again and again.
But I’ve settled on Jordan Peele's brilliant debut. I hesitated at first because it’s my favorite of the three, and playing favorites doesn’t always work out, but it just feels like it has the edge over its competition.
The rest of my predictions sans commentary:
2. BEST DIRECTOR: Guillermo del Toro for THE SHAPE OF WATER
3. BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman for DARKEST HOUR
4. BEST ACTRESS: Frances McDormand for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Sam Rockwell for THREE BILLBOARDS
6. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Allison Janey for I, TONYA
7. PRODUCTION DESIGN: Paul D. Austerberry, Shane Vieau, and Jeffrey A. Melvin for THE SHAPE OF WATER
But I’ve settled on Jordan Peele's brilliant debut. I hesitated at first because it’s my favorite of the three, and playing favorites doesn’t always work out, but it just feels like it has the edge over its competition.
The rest of my predictions sans commentary:
2. BEST DIRECTOR: Guillermo del Toro for THE SHAPE OF WATER
3. BEST ACTOR: Gary Oldman for DARKEST HOUR
4. BEST ACTRESS: Frances McDormand for THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Sam Rockwell for THREE BILLBOARDS
6. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Allison Janey for I, TONYA
7. PRODUCTION DESIGN: Paul D. Austerberry, Shane Vieau, and Jeffrey A. Melvin for THE SHAPE OF WATER
8. CINEMATOGRAPHY: Roger Deakins for BLADE RUNNER 2049
9. COSTUME DESIGN: Mark Bridges for PHANTOM THREAD
10. DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: FACES PLACES
11. DOCUMENTARY SHORT: EDDIE+EDITH
12. FILM EDITING: Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos for BABY DRIVER
13. MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: Kazuhiro Tsuji, David Malinowski, and Lucy Sibbick for DARKEST HOUR
14. VISUAL EFFECTS: Joe Letteri, Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon, and Joel Whist for WAR FOR THE PLANET OF THE APES
15. ORIGINAL SCORE: Alexandre Desplat for THE SHAPE OF WATER
16. ORIGINAL SONG: “This Is Me” from THE GREATEST SHOWMAN (Justin Paul & Benj Pasek)
17. ANIMATED SHORT: DEAR BASKETBALL
18. LIVE ACTION SHORT: DEKALB ELEMENTARY
19. SOUND EDITING: Richard King and Alex Gibson for DUNKIRK
20. SOUND MIXING: Gregg Landaker, Gary Rizzo, and Mark Weingarten for DUNKIRK
21. ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Jordan Peele for GET OUT
22. ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: James Ivory for CALL ME BY YOUR NAME
23. ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: COCO
24. BEST FOREIGN FILM: A FANTASTIC WOMAN
More later...
Pretty decent list! I hope that Dunkirk wins something though!
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